Why Health Care Is on a Knife’s Edge This Summer

This summer and fall, health care is about to hit South Carolina families from every direction at once. Premiums for employer plans are projected to jump 6–7 percent in 2026, roughly twice the rate of inflation, while many ACA marketplace plans are seeing some of their steepest increases in more than a decade as enhanced federal subsidies expire. At the very same time, Washington is rolling out hundreds of billions of dollars in federal Medicaid cuts, putting coverage for millions of low‑income Americans—and the stability of rural hospitals—at risk. 

For South Carolina, a state that still has not expanded Medicaid, that combination is especially dangerous. When federal Medicaid dollars shrink and private premiums spike, it is the people in the coverage gap, the working poor, seniors, and people with disabilities who get squeezed first. That is how families end up doing what 60 Minutes showed this spring: driving for hours and sleeping in their cars overnight outside a pop‑up free clinic, just to see a doctor or a dentist before the doors close. 

South Carolina’s health care crisis is no longer abstract. When Americans sleep in their cars for days to reach a free clinic, the problem is not personal failure; it is a policy failure. In South Carolina, that failure is made worse by three forces colliding at once: threatened federal Medicaid cuts, the state’s long refusal to expand Medicaid, and rising health coverage costs that push families further from routine care and closer to catastrophe. 

In April 2026, 60 Minutes revisited Remote Area Medical, the nonprofit that sets up free pop-up clinics for people who cannot afford care. At a clinic in Knoxville, patients arrived days early and slept in their cars in freezing weather just for a chance to see a dentist, a doctor, or an eye specialist. One patient, Sandra Tallent, drove 200 miles and slept in her car for two nights because she lacked dental insurance. 

That story matters in South Carolina because it shows what happens when coverage is too thin, too expensive, or too hard to use. Free clinics do heroic work, but they are not a functioning health care system. 

South Carolina remains one of the states that has not adopted Medicaid expansion under the Affordable Care Act. As a result, about 194,000 uninsured South Carolinians fall into the coverage gap: they earn too much to qualify for the state’s very limited Medicaid rules, but not enough to receive marketplace subsidies. 

This gap is not an accident. If South Carolina expanded Medicaid, the federal government would cover 90 percent of the cost of coverage for the expansion population, leaving the state responsible for only 10 percent. Cover SC and other advocates estimate that the state is refusing roughly $2.5 billion in federal expansion funding while leaving working adults without dependable access to care. 

For a working family, this can be devastating. Parents may work full time or juggle multiple part-time jobs and still earn too much for traditional Medicaid, while also earning too little to comfortably absorb deductibles, co-pays, and monthly premiums. Children may qualify for coverage while their parents remain uninsured, creating a family health system built on instability. 

In 2025, House Republicans advanced a budget framework calling for $880 billion in federal Medicaid cuts over ten years. Analyses of those proposals found that the scale of the cuts would force states to reduce coverage, slash provider payments, cut benefits, or all three. 

South Carolina is especially vulnerable because Medicaid already supports a broad and medically fragile population. The program serves more than 1.2 million residents, including children, pregnant women, seniors in nursing homes, and people with disabilities. Proposed federal changes could translate into billions in lost federal funding for the state over the next decade, with especially harsh effects in rural communities and on hospitals that rely heavily on Medicaid revenue. 

A 2025 state fact sheet warned that one Medicaid-cut scenario could put coverage at risk for 451,000 South Carolinians and strip away $4.7 billion in federal support. Georgetown researchers also warned that states are already grappling with how federal Medicaid cuts would destabilize rural health care systems, which are often operating on thin margins even before new losses arrive. 

The people most likely to be harmed are not abstractions. They are seniors who need nursing-home care, people with disabilities who depend on long-term services, children who need preventive care, and low-income workers who delay treatment until a crisis forces them into an emergency room. South Carolina advocates have also warned about a state budget gap for services supporting elderly and disabled residents, making federal retrenchment even more dangerous. When state leaders leave expansion funds on the table and Congress cuts deeper into the existing program, the burden lands on families, hospitals, local taxpayers, and overextended charitable providers. 

Another part of the story is structural waste. Research published in JAMA estimated that administrative spending in the U.S. health system reached $950 billion in 2019, driven heavily by billing, insurance complexity, and physician administrative work. That means a large share of health spending never reaches the exam room at all. 

Charts circulating online have captured a public frustration many voters already feel: a system full of high-paid administrative and insurance-related jobs while ordinary people still cannot afford basic care. That image alone does not prove any one salary caused the crisis, but it points to a real problem. Complex billing systems, fragmented insurance rules, and high administrative overhead all contribute to rising costs for patients, employers, and providers. In South Carolina, those costs hit even harder now that enhanced ACA subsidies expired at the end of 2025, contributing to much higher marketplace premiums for 2026 coverage. 

Our Democratic candidate for Governor, Jermaine Johnson, has made it clear that one of his first actions in office will be to expand Medicaid and immediately pursue the federal funds South Carolina has been refusing, so that hundreds of thousands more South Carolinians can finally get covered. Johnson has said Medicaid expansion will be a day‑one priority because no family in this state should be one illness or one layoff away from sleeping in a car to see a doctor. 

A strong Democratic message is simple: South Carolinians should not have to sleep in cars for medical care in the richest country on earth. The state should expand Medicaid, protect rural hospitals, and reject federal cuts that would punish seniors, people with disabilities, children, and working families. The contrast is stark. Washington is threatening hundreds of billions in Medicaid cuts, and Columbia is still refusing the federal expansion dollars that could close the state’s coverage gap. That is not fiscal responsibility; it is a choice to leave people sicker, hospitals weaker, and communities more vulnerable. 

South Carolina’s health care debate is often framed as numbers on a spreadsheet, but the real story is human. It is the mother delaying her own treatment so her child can go first, the senior terrified of losing home-based support, the rural hospital trying to keep its doors open, and the patient sleeping in a car for a free clinic because the system failed long before sunrise. State leaders cannot control every federal decision, but they can stop making the crisis worse. Expanding Medicaid, defending existing coverage, and putting patients ahead of ideology would not solve everything overnight. But it would be a start, and for hundreds of thousands of South Carolinians, it could mean the difference between preventive care and preventable suffering.

If South Carolina is ever going to stop sending people to sleep in their cars for basic medical care, we have to change who is making the decisions. That starts with electing leaders who will expand Medicaid and protect coverage—not gut it. Jermaine Johnson has promised to make Medicaid expansion a day‑one priority as governor, so that South Carolina finally claims the federal funds other states are already using to cover their people. Make your plan to vote early in the Democratic Primary and bring a friend who cares about healthcare. 

2 Comments

  1. Update – July 2026: What We Warned About Is Now Happening
    When we published this article on South Carolina’s health care crisis in early June, we warned that federal Medicaid cuts and the end of enhanced ACA subsidies would collide with our state’s refusal to expand Medicaid, pushing families off coverage and putting rural hospitals at risk.
    A new July 3 report highlighted in the Charleston City Paper confirms that is exactly what is happening. According to the report:
    More than 70,000 South Carolinians have already lost Medicaid, and about 45,000 have left ACA‑subsidized private plans in the year since Donald Trump signed his “Big Beautiful Bill Act,” cutting roughly $1 trillion from Medicaid and ACA programs.
    ACA marketplace premiums in South Carolina have jumped 235% since 2025, with a typical 60‑year‑old couple earning $85,000 seeing their annual premiums explode from about $7,000 to $29,000—more than one‑third of their income.
    South Carolina hospitals are projected to face $5.4 billion in additional uncompensated care costs between now and 2034, and several rural hospitals are already flagged as at risk of closure.
    Advocates like Sue Berkowitz of Appleseed/Cover SC say they have not seen evidence of widespread ACA fraud and describe the “waste, fraud and abuse” rhetoric as a pretext to push people off coverage.
    ?️That matches our argument that this is not about cleaning up waste—it is about shifting costs and risks onto low‑income families and fragile hospitals.
    In other words, the crisis we described as looming in June has now arrived on the ground.
    Thank you for reading.
    Susan M. Belanger Whitney

    Published July 3, 2026
    https://charlestoncitypaper.com/2026/07/03/health-access-in-s-c-suffers-under-medicaid-cuts-report-says/?utm_source=Charleston+City+Paper&utm_campaign=657c965244-RSS_EMAIL_CAMPAIGN&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_43f2d61bd5-657c965244-616762855

  2. Update – September 2026: What We Warned About in June Is Now Accelerating
    When we published this article in early June, we warned that federal Medicaid cuts, the expiration of enhanced ACA subsidies, and South Carolina’s refusal to expand Medicaid would collide, pushing families off coverage and threatening our rural hospitals.
    Our July 6 update cited a Charleston City Paper report from July 3 confirming that was already happening: more than 70,000 South Carolinians had lost Medicaid and about 45,000 had left ACA-subsidized private plans in the year since the “Big Beautiful Bill Act” cut roughly $1 trillion from Medicaid and ACA programs nationwide. That same report found South Carolina’s marketplace premiums had jumped 235% since 2025, with a typical 60-year-old couple earning $85,000 seeing their annual premiums explode from about $7,000 to $29,000, and it flagged $5.4 billion in additional uncompensated hospital care costs projected by 2034, with several rural hospitals already at risk of closing.
    Two months later, the picture is worse, not better.
    A new state fact sheet released in early September shows that 235,000 South Carolinians have now lost Medicaid, CHIP, or ACA coverage altogether, more than double the number reported in July. Premiums have now doubled for over 587,000 people across the state. And 14 hospitals, clinics, and nursing homes have shut their doors or are on the verge of closing, with health care facilities statewide facing a $1.5 billion loss in funding and a 26.9% spike in the uncompensated care they’re providing. Nationally, these same cuts have stripped coverage from roughly 8 million Americans.
    Dr. Annie Andrews, the pediatrician and Democratic nominee for U.S. Senate, has been one of the clearest voices connecting these numbers to what they mean on the ground. In one recent interview, she said: “Medicaid is the backbone of children’s health care in the United States. It is the largest insurer for children in South Carolina and in the country. In South Carolina, it funds nearly 50 percent of births, nearly six out of ten nursing home beds. You cannot remove that much money from a system and expect the system to continue to function.”
    That last line is worth sitting with. This isn’t only a program for low-income families, though it is a lifeline for them. Medicaid is woven through the entire health care system South Carolinians of every age and income rely on: obstetric units, nursing homes, rural clinics, and children’s hospitals alike. The Congressional Budget Office estimates the law will reduce federal Medicaid spending by $900 to $911 billion over ten years. When you cut that much from it, something has to give. What’s giving, right now, in South Carolina, is coverage, hospital doors, and nursing home beds.
    Andrews has also stood with families affected directly. In November 2025, she held a press conference outside a shuttered Cooperative Health clinic in Little Mountain, one of six clinics across Lexington, Newberry, Fairfield, and Richland counties forced to close after the cuts took hold. Patients there are now told to travel up to 20 miles for care they used to receive down the street.
    None of this had to happen. South Carolina still has not expanded Medicaid, leaving roughly $2.5 billion in federal expansion dollars on the table every year, dollars that would cover 90 percent of the cost for the very people now falling through the cracks. Jermaine Johnson has pledged Medicaid expansion as a day-one priority if elected governor. Dr. Annie Andrews has made protecting and expanding Medicaid and Medicare central to her Senate campaign.
    The trend line is not subtle. In June we warned this was coming. In July it arrived. In September it is accelerating. The choice in front of South Carolina voters could not be clearer: keep electing leaders who let this happen, or elect leaders who will expand Medicaid, defend the coverage families already have, and stop treating our neighbors’ health as an acceptable place to cut.
    Make your plan to vote, and bring a friend who cares about health care.
    Sources:
    Charleston City Paper, July 3, 2026: https://charlestoncitypaper.com/2026/07/03/health-access-in-s-c-suffers-under-medicaid-cuts-report-says/
    Dr. Annie Andrews interview: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gEDvDwCasMo
    Dr. Annie Andrews press conference, November 2025: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=x_W3FonyUF0
    Protect Our Care state fact sheet data via Common Dreams, September 2026: https://www.commondreams.org/tag/affordable-care-act

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